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Model Portfolio

Portfolio Manager’s Q3 Commentary

The S&P/TSX Composite Total Return Index increased by 2.5% in the third quarter. This adds to this years’ gains for a YTD return of 19.1%. During Q3, the S&P500 produced a 1.2% return for a YTD rate of 18.7% and the MSCI ACWI ex USA posted a 1.1% return leading to a 16.6% YTD total return.

Over the 3rd quarter, most company results were inline or better than expected. Interest sensitive sectors such as Utilities and REITS performed the best due to lower long-term interest rates.

In addition, the FED confirmed its dovish stance by reflecting the FED meeting minutes that were perceived to be accommodating. The FED had hinted that they would be open to reduce rates further if economic slowdown was visible. As a result, the Financials sector had the strongest sector rally in the month of September compared to the rest of the market.

NQICA in Q3 returned 3.9% leading to a YTD return of 21.1% versus the S&P/TSX composite which returned 2.5% in Q3 and 19.1% YTD. The one-year return for NQICA is 8.2% in comparison to the S&P/TSX which generated 7.1%.

The worst performers in the NQICA in Q3 were Stella Jones (SJ) with a return of -17.8%, due to the departure of the CEO, and CCL Industries (CCL.B) with a -16.52% return, due to poor quarterly results and increased insider selling. On the other hand, the best performers were Equitable Group (EQB) up 43.46%, due to excellent quarterly results and improvement in the Canadian real estate statistics, and Metro Inc. (MRU) up 19.11% based on great earnings and a positive update on the integration o the Jean-Coutu acquisition.

StockPointer® US and ADR Equities Model Portfolio Transactions – September 2019

StockPointer® US and ADR Equities Model Portfolio Transactions – September 2019

We have rebalanced the Nasdaq Inovestor Global Index based on our US and ADR Model Portfolios, which will be effective on September 20th after market close. Here are the details for the US Model Portfolio:

Ins:

1. Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (BMY) – Market Trend. Increase in the Healthcare sector as seen in the Top 100 index, therefore, increasing our position in the portfolio.

2. Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. (LW) – Intra-sectoral transaction.

3. Progressive Corp (Ohio) (PGR) – Intra-sectoral transaction.

Outs:

1. Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (SBH)– Market Trend. Decrease in the Consumer Discretionary sector as seen in the Top 100 index, therefore, decreasing our position in the portfolio.

2. Kroger Co. (KR) – Not in the top performers of its sector.

3. Blackstone Group Inc. (BX) – Not in the top performers of its sector.

Here are the details for the International Model Portfolio:

Ins:

1. Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP) – Market Trend. Increase in the Utilities sector as seen in the Top 100 index, therefore, increasing our position in the portfolio.

Outs:

1. Unilever PLC (UL) – Market Trend. Decrease in the Consumer Staples sector as seen in the Top 100 index, therefore, decreasing our position in the portfolio.

Portfolio Manager’s September comment For August Results

The Canadian market has been the best performer in August due in part to a strong rally in previous metals (such as gold and silver) and a vigorous GDP of 3.6 versus 3.0 expected. On the other hand, the US GDP was weaker than expected at 2.0 versus 2.3. Global markets were also down as a result from fears of an economic slowdown: Brexit, Hong Kong unrests, inverted interest curve and tariff issues.

The S&P/TSX Total Return Index rose by 0.2% in August, the S&P 500 decreased by -1.8% and the MSCI World by -2.1%. At August end, the YTD S&P/TSX Total Return Index was up 17.1% which was higher than the S&P500 (16.7%) and higher than the MSCI World of 13.5%.

The best TSX sector in August was Information Technology up 7.7%, mainly due to the performance of Shopify, followed by Materials up 5.7%, with gold up 16.7% and silver up 15.4%. On the contrary, the worst performing sector was Health Care (-13%) principally due to the performance of the Cannabis sector.

Looking more specifically at INOC, the best performers in August were Metro Inc. (+9.43%), a Canadian food retailer in Quebec and Ontario, followed by Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (+8.21%), a publicly traded limited partnership involved in the acquisition and management of infrastructure assets globally. Both stocks rallied based on their defensive attributes and as of a result of the inversion of the yield curve.

On the contrary, the weakest contributor to INOC was Parex (PXT), which was down 9.62%, on weak energy prices. The other negative contributors were Linamar (LNR) and CCL Industries (CCL.B) due to disappointing results.

StockPointer® Canadian Equities Model Portfolio Transactions – July 2019

We have rebalanced the Nasdaq Inovestor Canadian Index based on our Canadian Model Portfolio, which will be effective on July 19th after market close. Here are the details:

In:

  1. Telus Corporation (T) – Market Trend. Increase in Telecommunication sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.

Out:

  1. IA Financial Corporation (IAG) – Market Trend. Decrease in the Financial sector as seen in the Top 100 index.

StockPointer® US and ADR Equities Model Portfolio Transactions – June 2019

We have rebalanced the Nasdaq Inovestor Global Index based on our US and ADR Model Portfolios, which will be effective on June 21st after market close. Here are the details for the US Model Portfolio:

Ins:

  1. Employers HOLDINGS INC (EIG) – Market Trend. Increase in Financials sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. ABBVIE INC (ABBV) – Market Trend. Increase in Healthcare sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. EVERCORE INC (EVR) – Intra Sectorial transaction.
  4. CREDIT ACCEPTANCE CORPORATION (CACC) – Intra Sectorial transaction.
  5. PRICE T ROWE GROUPs (TROW) – Intra Sectorial transaction.
  6. TRANSDIGM GROUP INC (TDG) – Intra Sectorial transaction.
  7. GEOPARK LTD (GPRK) – Intra Sectorial transaction.

Outs:

  1. MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC (MU) – Market Trend. Decrease in IT sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore decreasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. VECTOR GROUP LTD (VGR) – Market Trend. Decrease in Consumer Staples sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore decreasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. VALERO ENERGY CORPORATION (VLO) – EPI. EPI fell below 1.
  4. CIGNA CORPORATION (CI) – SP Score. No longer within SP score range and not in the top 20 of its sector.
  5. PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP (PFG) – SP Score. No longer within SP score range and not in the top 20 of its sector.
  6. ALLSTATE CORPORATE (ALL) – SP Score. No longer within SP score range and not in the top 20 of its sector.
  7. THE CHEMOURS COMPANY LLC (CC) – SP Score. No longer within SP score range and not in the top 20 of its sector.

 

Here are the details for the International Model Portfolio:

Ins:

  1. BANCO SANTANDER MEXICO SA (BSMX) – Market Trend. Increase in Financials sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. JAZZ PHARMACEUTICALS PLC (JAZZ) – Market Trend. Increase in Healthcare sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.

Outs:

  1. TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING (TSM) – Market Trend. Decrease in IT sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore decreasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. NIELSEN HOLDINGS PLC (NLSN) – Market Trend. Decrease in Consumer Discretionary sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore decreasing our position in the portfolio.

StockPointer® Canadian Equities Model Portfolio Transactions – April 2019

We have rebalanced the Nasdaq Inovestor Canadian Index based on our Canadian Model Portfolio, which will be effective on April 18th after market close. Here are the details:

Ins:

  1. Great-West Lifeco Inc. (GWO) – Market Trend. Increase in Financial sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. Norbord Inc (OSB) – Market Trend. Increase in Materials sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. Open Text Corporation (OTEX) –  Market Trend. Increase in Information Technology sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.

Outs:

  1. The North West Company Inc (NWC) – Market Trend. Decrease in the Consumer Staple sector as seen in the Top 100 index.
  2. Parkland Fuel Corporation (PKI) – Market Trend. Decrease in the Energy sector as seen in the Top 100 index.
  3. CAE Inc. (CAE) –  Market Trend. Decrease in the Industrials sector as seen in the Top 100 index.

StockPointer® Canadian Equities Model Portfolio Transactions – April 2019

We have rebalanced the Nasdaq Inovestor Canadian Index based on our Canadian Model Portfolio, which will be effective on April 18th after market close. Here are the details:

Ins:

  1. Great-west Lifeco inc. (GWO) – Market Trend. Increase in Financial sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. Norbord Inc (OSB) – Market Trend. Increase in Materials sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. Open Text Corporation (OTEX) –  Market Trend. Increase in Information Technology sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.

Outs:

  1. THE NORTH WEST COMPANY INC (NWC) – Market Trend. Decrease in the Industrials sector as seen in the Top 100 index.
  2. Parkland Fuel Corporation (PKI) – Market Trend. Decrease in the Energy sector as seen in the Top 100 index.
  3. CAE Inc. (CAE) –  Market Trend. Decrease in the Industrials sector as seen in the Top 100 index.

You can also find the transactions on Inovestor For Advisors, in the Model Portfolios – StockPointer Canada section.

Please contact us for more information.

The Inovestor Team

StockPointer® US and ADR Equities Model Portfolio Transactions – March 2019

We have rebalanced the Nasdaq Inovestor Global Index based on our US and ADR Model Portfolios, which will be effective on March 22nd after market close. Here are the details for the US Model Portfolio:

Ins:

  1. THOR INDUSTRIES (THO) – Market Trend. Increase in Consumer Discretionary sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC (MU) – Market Trend. Increase in IT sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. THE CHEMOURS COMPANY LLC (CC) –  Intra Sectorial transaction.
  4. WALGREENS BOOTS ALLIANCE INC (WBA) – Intra Sectorial transaction.
  5. SALLY BEAUTY HOLDINGS INC (SBH) –  Intra Sectorial transaction.
  6. BLOCK(H & R) INC (HRB) – Intra Sectorial transaction.

Outs:

  1. UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC (UNH) – Market Trend. Decrease in Financials sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore decreasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. US BANCORP (USB) – Market Trend. Decrease in Financials sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore decreasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP (LMT) –  SP Score. No longer within SP score range and not in the top 20 of its sector.
  4. SMUCKER(J.M.)CO (SJM) – SP Score. No longer within SP score range and not in the top 20 of its sector.
  5. PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC (PAG) –  SP Score. No longer within SP score range and not in the top 20 of its sector.
  6. AUTOZONE INC (AZO) –  SP Score. No longer within SP score range and not in the top 20 of its sector.

 

Here are the details for the International Model Portfolio:

Ins:

  1. ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC (ARCO) – Market Trend. Increase in Consumer Discretionary sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. NXP SEMICONDUCTORS N V (NXPI) – Market Trend. Increase in IT sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. CIMPRESS N.V (CMPR) – Intra Sectorial transaction.

Outs:

  1. BANCO DE CHILE SPON ADS REP 200 ORD SHS (BCH) – Market Trend. Decrease in Financials sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore decreasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. ASSURED GUARANTY LTD (AGO) – Market Trend. Decrease in Financials sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore decreasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. TE CONNECTIVITY LTD (TEL) – EPI. EPI fell below 1.

Portfolio Manager Commentary – February 2019

The S&P/TSX Total Return Index increased by 3.1% in February, adding to the strong January returns (8.1%) and leading to a YTD return of 12.2%. This gives the Canadian market a very strong start so far in 2019 which has actually slightly outperformed the MSCI Global (11.2%) and the S&P 500 (11.8%). Most sectors of the Canadian market were positive contributors in February, with Information Technology being the strongest one at an 8.4% increase.

The Canadian central bank & the FED comments have remained highly constructive for the equity markets. Although some analysts were expecting a more hawkish tone for the future, central banks have not indicated such act. Furthermore, the overall earnings and guided earnings have been positive over this period.

In addition, commodity prices, including energy and metals, have been stable which is crucial for the Canadian market. Finally, Canadian banks’ results were in-line to slightly below expectations, except for BMO, that came higher than expected.

Our Nasdaq Inovestor Canadian Equity Index (NQICA) rose by 2.1% in February, leading to a YTD positive return of 10.7%, slightly underperforming the market.  Looking at contribution factors to the NQICA returns, the best performing stock up 14.6%, was Constellation Software (CSU), that outperformed earnings expectations. On the contrary, the worst performer was CCL industries (CCL.B) which was down 3% in February as a result of weaker than expected results.

Portfolio Manager Commentary – February 2019

Horizons Inovestor Canadian Equity ETF (INOC)

The S&P/TSX Total Return Index ended the month of January up 8.1% offsetting in one month most of last year decline of 8.9%, making it one of the best month in the last 20 years. This upturn has been driven by several catalysts including a softening in the tone of last minutes of the FED, relatively strong results from earnings releases of large North American corporations, and the end of the US government shutdown. Meanwhile, prices of most key commodities including crude oil and gold were stronger in the month. Our Nasdaq Inovestor Canadian Equity Index (NQICA) rose 8.1% for the same period, 60bps below the benchmark. Our sector allocation removed 110bps as our decision to underweight Energy and underweight Healthcare proved to be unfruitful in January. However, our stock selection contributed a positive 50bps as a several of our stocks outperformed.

INOC’s constituents were changed on January 18th

Ins:

  1. THE NORTH WEST COMPANY INC (NWC)
  2. PAREX RESOURCES INC (PXT)

 

Outs:

  1. NFI GROUP Inc. (NFI)
  2. WEST FRASER TIMBER CO. Ltd. (WFT)

Best,

The Inovestor Asset Management Team