Monthly Archives

December 2018

These 12 defensive TSX stocks combine value and quality

In the filter created this week for The Globe and Mail, we screened for Defensive TSX stocks that combine value and quality

The defensive nature of value investing makes it a go-to strategy during an economic or market downturn. Today, I look for value companies that are not necessarily trading at a discount but rather at a reasonable price, what we call “quality” investing. We are screening the Canadian market with an emphasis on quality companies – those that perform defensively compared with others, regardless of market volatility.

We screened the Canadian universe by focusing on the following criteria:

  • Market capitalization greater than $1-billion;
  • Positive one-year return (as of last month’s end);
  • Positive 12-month change in the economic value-added (EVA) metric – a positive figure shows us that the company’s profits are increasing at a faster and greater pace than the costs of capital. The EVA is the economic profit generated by the company and is calculated as the net operating profit after tax minus capital expenses;
  • Positive 12-month change in the economic performance index (EPI) and a current EPI greater than one – this ratio is the return on capital to cost of capital;
  • Average annual return on capital (ROC) over five years must be greater than 10 per cent;
  • Future-growth-value-to-market-value ratio (FGV/MV) is between 40 per cent and minus 70 per cent. The chosen range was selected to eliminate stocks that are at an exaggerated premium or discount as that would increase the risk. This ratio represents the proportion of the market value of the company that is made up of future growth expectations rather than the actual profit generated. The higher the percentage, the higher the baked-in premium for expected growth and the higher the risk.

Read more in this article written by Noor Hussain, Analyst & Account Executive at Inovestor Inc.

StockPointer® US and ADR Equities Model Portfolio Transactions – December 2018

We have rebalanced the Nasdaq Inovestor Global Index based on our US and ADR Model Portfolios, which will be effective on December 21st after market close. Here are the details for the US Model Portfolio:

Ins:

  1. Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (SIX) – Market Trend. Increase in Consumer Discretionary sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. Blackstone Group L.P. (BX) – Market Trend. Increase in Finance sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS) –  Intra Sectorial transaction. WDS fell sharply in performance and is replaced by Skyworks Solution.
  4. Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) – Intra Sectorial transaction. Penske replacing CBRL as CBRL in no longer within SP score range and not in the top 20 of its sector.

Outs:

  1. Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) – Market Trend. Decrease in Materials sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore decreasing our position in the portfolio.
  2. Clorox Company (CLX) – Market Trend. Decrease in Materials sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore decreasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. Western Digital Corporation (WDC) –  SP Score. The company’s score fell sharply well below minimum level.
  4. Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.(CBRL) – SP Score. The company’s performance was stable, however many companies rose to better performance during the same period.

Here are the details for the International Model Portfolio:

Ins:

  1. Nielsen Holdings PLC (NLSN) – Market Trend. Increase in Consumer Discretionary sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio. There are talks to take the company private.
  2. Lazard Ltd Class A (LAZ) – Market Trend. Increase in Finance sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.
  3. BBVA Banco Frances SA Sponsored ADR (BFR) – Market Trend. Increase in Finance sector as seen in the Top 100 index therefore increasing our position in the portfolio.

Outs:

  1. Ternium S.A. Sponsored ADR (TX) – Market Trend. Decrease in the Materials sector as seen in the Top 100 index.
  2. Industrias Bachoco SAB de CV Sponsored ADR Class B (IBA) – Market Trend. Decrease in Consumer Staples sector as seen in the Top 100 index.
  3. Allergan PLC (AGN) – Market Trend. Decrease in Healthcare sector as seen in the Top 100 index.

Twelve quality U.S. health care stocks for market uncertainty

In the filter created this week for The Globe and Mail, we screened for Quality US-listed Health Care companies

The health care industry is viewed as a defensive sector and as a hedge during market uncertainty. Today we look for quality U.S.-listed companies in that sector. To do that, we screened the U.S. health care universe, including American depositary receipts, by focusing on the following criteria:

  • Positive three-month and 24-month change in the economic value-added (EVA) metric – a positive figure shows us that the company’s profits are increasing at a faster and greater pace than the costs of capital. The EVA is the economic profit generated by the company and is calculated as the net operating profit after tax minus capital expenses;
  • Economic performance index (EPI) – the ratio of return on capital to cost of capital – must be greater than one;
  • Average five-year return on capital (ROC) must be greater than 10 per cent and the 12-month change in return on capital must be positive;
  • Future growth value/market value (FGV/MV). This ratio represents the proportion of the market value of the company that is made up of future growth expectations rather than the actual profit generated. The higher the percentage, the higher the baked-in premium for expected growth and the higher the risk.

Read more in this article written by Noor Hussain, Analyst & Account Executive at Inovestor Inc.